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dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, Michael J.
dc.date.accessioned2016-06-01T16:46:49Z
dc.date.available2016-06-01T16:46:49Z
dc.date.issued2005
dc.identifier.citationArmstrong MJ, 2005, A stochastic salvo model for naval surface combat, Operations Research 53 #5, 830-841en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10464/9372
dc.description.abstractIn this work we propose a stochastic version of the salvo model for modern naval surface combat. We derive expressions for the mean and variance of surviving force strengths and for the probabilities of the possible salvo outcomes in forms simple enough to be implemented in spreadsheet software. Numerical comparisons of the deterministic and stochastic models suggest that while the two models tend to provide similar estimates of the average number of ships surviving a salvo, this average by itself can be highly misleading with respect to the likely outcomes of the battle. Our results also suggest that a navy's preferences for risk (variability) and armament (offensive versus defensive) will depend on not only its mission objectives but also on whether it expects to fight from a position of strength or of weakness.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipNational Science & Engineering Research Council (NSERC) Discovery Granten_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherInstitute For Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS)en_US
dc.subjectSalvo combat modelen_US
dc.subjectMissile warfareen_US
dc.subjectOperations researchen_US
dc.subjectMiitaryen_US
dc.titleA stochastic salvo model for naval surface combaten_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
refterms.dateFOA2021-07-31T01:26:14Z


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